2015 General Election Predictions › Page 6

England Constituencies O-S

Constituency	Con	Lab	LibDem	UKIP	Green	Other	Winner	Gain?	Certainty
Old Bexley & Sidcup	52%	26%	1%	14%	5%	2%	Con		Certain
Oldham East & Saddleworth	24%	39%	17%	14%	4%	0%	Lab		High Likely
Oldham West & Royton	22%	54%	4%	14%	4%	2%	Lab		Certain
Orpington	57%	15%	10%	13%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Oxford East	15%	48%	18%	12%	6%	0%	Lab		Certain
Oxford West & Abingdon	38%	16%	27%	12%	6%	0%	Con		Likely
Pendle	41%	37%	9%	9%	4%	1%	Con		TCTC
Penistone & Stocksbridge	29%	44%	9%	15%	0%	1%	Lab		Likely
Penrith & The Border	50%	19%	14%	13%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Peterborough	32%	36%	10%	17%	3%	2%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Plymouth Moor View	31%	44%	2%	18%	5%	1%	Lab		Likely
Plymouth Sutton & Devonport	31%	37%	10%	16%	6%	0%	Lab	Gain	Leaning
Poole	45%	19%	17%	15%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Poplar & Limehouse	23%	44%	0%	11%	5%	18%	Lab		Certain
Portsmouth North	40%	33%	5%	14%	5%	3%	Con		Leaning
Portsmouth South	33%	22%	20%	17%	8%	0%	Con	Gain	Likely
Preston	18%	53%	9%	14%	4%	1%	Lab		Certain
Pudsey	40%	42%	7%	7%	3%	1%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Putney	48%	33%	2%	11%	6%	0%	Con		High Likely
Rayleigh & Wickford	56%	21%	0%	14%	4%	4%	Con		Certain
Reading East	39%	31%	12%	12%	6%	0%	Con		Leaning
Reading West	39%	36%	5%	13%	5%	2%	Con		TCTC
Redcar	14%	45%	22%	17%	2%	0%	Lab	Gain	Certain
Redditch	41%	37%	3%	14%	5%	1%	Con		TCTC
Reigate	50%	18%	11%	14%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Ribble South	39%	38%	9%	13%	0%	1%	Con		TCTC
Ribble Valley	46%	28%	6%	16%	4%	0%	Con		High Likely
Richmond (Yorks)	58%	21%	4%	10%	7%	0%	Con		Certain
Richmond Park	46%	11%	27%	11%	5%	0%	Con		High Likely
Rochdale	15%	42%	19%	14%	4%	6%	Lab		Certain
Rochester & Strood	36%	24%	3%	32%	4%	0%	Con	Gain	TCTC
Rochford & Southend East	45%	28%	5%	16%	6%	0%	Con		High Likely
Romford	53%	26%	0%	14%	5%	1%	Con		Certain
Romsey & Southampton North	45%	12%	26%	12%	4%	0%	Con		High Likely
Rossendale & Darwen	43%	42%	4%	8%	2%	1%	Con		TCTC
Rother Valley	22%	44%	7%	24%	0%	2%	Lab		High Likely
Rotherham	3%	50%	2%	31%	0%	13%	Lab		High Likely
Rugby	41%	38%	5%	11%	5%	0%	Con		TCTC
Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner	53%	25%	2%	12%	6%	2%	Con		Certain
Runnymede & Weybridge	52%	19%	7%	16%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Rushcliffe	47%	26%	7%	14%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Rutland & Melton	49%	21%	11%	15%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Saffron Walden	52%	16%	13%	14%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Salford & Eccles	18%	49%	12%	13%	4%	3%	Lab		Certain
Salisbury	46%	14%	22%	13%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Scarborough & Whitby	40%	33%	8%	13%	6%	0%	Con		Leaning
Scunthorpe	30%	46%	3%	15%	5%	0%	Lab		High Likely
Sedgefield	21%	53%	5%	14%	4%	3%	Lab		Certain
Sefton Central	30%	47%	5%	14%	4%	0%	Lab		High Likely
Selby & Ainsty	46%	32%	3%	13%	4%	1%	Con		Likely
Sevenoaks	54%	20%	7%	14%	4%	2%	Con		Certain
Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough	9%	65%	5%	15%	4%	2%	Lab		Certain
Sheffield Central	7%	48%	26%	12%	8%	0%	Lab		Certain
Sheffield Hallam	12%	34%	41%	7%	3%	3%	LibDem		Leaning
Sheffield Heeley	15%	50%	14%	14%	7%	0%	Lab		Certain
Sheffield South East	15%	57%	9%	15%	4%	0%	Lab		Certain
Sherwood	37%	46%	0%	13%	4%	0%	Lab	Gain	Leaning
Shipley	44%	34%	5%	10%	7%	0%	Con		Likely
Shrewsbury & Atcham	41%	27%	14%	13%	5%	0%	Con		Likely
Shropshire North	49%	25%	6%	15%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Sittingbourne & Sheppey	47%	31%	2%	15%	4%	1%	Con		High Likely
Skipton & Ripon	48%	16%	18%	14%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Sleaford & North Hykeham	49%	23%	6%	14%	0%	7%	Con		Certain
Slough	30%	51%	0%	13%	5%	1%	Lab		Certain
Solihull	40%	15%	28%	12%	4%	1%	Con	Gain	Likely
Somerset North	45%	17%	20%	14%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Somerset North East	44%	27%	10%	10%	7%	1%	Con		High Likely
Somerton & Frome	40%	10%	32%	13%	4%	0%	Con	Gain	Leaning
South Holland & The Deepings	57%	21%	1%	17%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
South Shields	8%	51%	0%	31%	7%	3%	Lab		Certain
Southampton Itchen	32%	40%	8%	16%	4%	0%	Lab		Leaning
Southampton Test	29%	44%	7%	14%	6%	0%	Lab		Likely
Southend West	44%	20%	15%	14%	6%	1%	Con		Certain
Southport	32%	15%	34%	15%	4%	0%	LibDem		TCTC
Spelthorne	43%	22%	11%	18%	4%	1%	Con		Certain
St Albans	37%	23%	21%	14%	5%	0%	Con		Likely
St Austell & Newquay	38%	14%	24%	18%	6%	2%	Con	Gain	Likely
St Helens North	19%	57%	5%	14%	4%	1%	Lab		Certain
St Helens South & Whiston	15%	60%	8%	13%	4%	0%	Lab		Certain
St Ives	36%	13%	31%	13%	6%	2%	Con	Gain	Leaning
Stafford	41%	39%	1%	13%	5%	0%	Con		TCTC
Staffordshire Moorlands	41%	35%	2%	18%	4%	0%	Con		Leaning
Staffordshire South	51%	27%	2%	16%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Stalybridge & Hyde	31%	47%	2%	14%	6%	0%	Lab		High Likely
Stevenage	38%	40%	2%	14%	4%	2%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Stockport	22%	49%	10%	12%	6%	0%	Lab		Certain
Stockton North	25%	51%	4%	15%	0%	3%	Lab		Certain
Stockton South	40%	45%	4%	8%	1%	2%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Stoke-on-Trent Central	20%	50%	8%	16%	5%	3%	Lab		Certain
Stoke-on-Trent North	22%	54%	3%	17%	4%	0%	Lab		Certain
Stoke-on-Trent South	27%	49%	1%	15%	5%	3%	Lab		Certain
Stone	46%	26%	7%	15%	5%	0%	Con		High Likely
Stourbridge	39%	40%	4%	14%	2%	1%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Stratford-on-Avon	49%	16%	14%	14%	5%	1%	Con		Certain
Streatham	15%	48%	20%	10%	6%	1%	Lab		Certain
Stretford & Urmston	25%	54%	2%	13%	6%	0%	Lab		Certain
Stroud	37%	44%	1%	12%	7%	0%	Lab	Gain	Leaning
Suffolk Central & North Ipswich	47%	22%	10%	14%	7%	0%	Con		Certain
Suffolk Coastal	42%	22%	15%	15%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Suffolk South	44%	20%	16%	17%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Suffolk West	48%	21%	9%	17%	4%	1%	Con		Certain
Sunderland Central	28%	53%	2%	13%	4%	0%	Lab		Certain
Surrey East	53%	15%	11%	17%	4%	1%	Con		Certain
Surrey Heath	53%	16%	11%	16%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Surrey South West	62%	11%	9%	11%	6%	1%	Con		Certain
Sussex Mid	47%	13%	22%	12%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Sutton & Cheam	39%	13%	31%	12%	5%	0%	Con	Gain	Leaning
Sutton Coldfield	51%	27%	3%	13%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Swindon North	42%	37%	2%	14%	5%	0%	Con		TCTC
Swindon South	37%	38%	7%	15%	3%	0%	Lab	Gain	TCTC