Brexit – What now?

So, it’s happened.  the UK has voted to leave the European Union.  While the result was perhaps a surprise, it’s worth noting that the polls did actually show that Leave was in the lead going into the final day, with the “undecided effect” not really materialising for the Remain camp in the way that many pollsters and I expected. Here are the final results from each part of the country: Remain Leave England 46.6% 53.4% Scotland 62.0% 38.0% Wales 47.5% 52.5% N Ireland 55.8% 44.2% — Read more →

EU Referendum Predictions

Britain’s decision day is here, and today the electorate will decide whether or not the UK should remain within or leave the European Union. Who’s going to win is anyone’s guess, with the polls being almost dead level going into today’s historic vote, but with the help of some precedent and some stats – I’m going to make a prediction on how things are going to turn out tonight. Here are how the final polls look going into the vote: Remain Leave Undecided Online 43.6% — Read more →

EU Ref Poll Update – 3 days to go

It’s been a tragic week in the EU referendum campaign, with the horrific murder of young MP Jo Cox on Thursday naturally overshadowing the political battle going on – although the two may, in utterly barbaric terms, be linked together by a gunman whose motives seem to be political in nature. All things considered though, the momentum that had been trending towards Leave in the last two weeks since my last update has slowed a little as the “status quo” effect has begun to kick — Read more →

The EU Referendum – 2 weeks to go

Political déjà vu it may be, but with two weeks left in a referendum campaign the future of the United Kingdom’s political future is very much in the balance. In two weeks the EU referendum will take place and Britain will decide whether to Remain within or Leave the European Union in a vote that is already having major impacts on both the British and European economies and political culture. This post isn’t setting out any arguments for or against either campaign, I’ve already set — Read more →