2015 General Election Predictions › Page 8

Scotland Constituencies

Constituency	SNP	Lab	Con	LibDem	UKIP	Green	Other	Winner	Gain?	Certainty
Aberdeen North	51%	30%	11%	6%	0%	0%	2%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Aberdeen South	39%	21%	18%	16%	1%	2%	2%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine	43%	10%	23%	22%	2%	1%	0%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Airdrie & Shotts	48%	36%	7%	1%	3%	3%	2%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Angus	65%	2%	28%	0%	3%	1%	1%	SNP		Certain
Argyll & Bute	47%	8%	22%	21%	1%	0%	2%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock	44%	31%	22%	1%	1%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Ayrshire Central	46%	32%	18%	0%	0%	1%	2%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Ayrshire North & Arran	51%	31%	13%	1%	1%	1%	2%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Banff & Buchan	69%	0%	29%	1%	0%	0%	1%	SNP		Certain
Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk	27%	9%	23%	34%	2%	0%	5%	LibDem		Leaning
Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross	48%	9%	11%	29%	1%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill	51%	39%	5%	1%	1%	0%	4%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East	57%	34%	5%	3%	0%	0%	2%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Dumfries & Galloway	39%	28%	27%	2%	3%	0%	0%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale	40%	19%	28%	6%	4%	3%	0%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Dunbartonshire East	38%	16%	9%	35%	1%	1%	0%	SNP	Gain	TCTC
Dunbartonshire West	53%	38%	6%	1%	0%	0%	2%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Dundee East	65%	17%	13%	0%	0%	3%	2%	SNP		Certain
Dundee West	63%	24%	6%	4%	0%	3%	0%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Dunfermline & Fife West	39%	30%	4%	22%	0%	1%	1%	SNP	Gain	Leaning
East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow	51%	35%	10%	0%	1%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
East Lothian	43%	29%	17%	4%	3%	3%	1%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Edinburgh East	47%	28%	8%	7%	1%	6%	2%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Edinburgh North & Leith	43%	30%	12%	7%	1%	7%	0%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Edinburgh South	35%	33%	13%	9%	1%	4%	6%	SNP	Gain	TCTC
Edinburgh South West	45%	27%	18%	5%	1%	4%	0%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Edinburgh West	40%	12%	20%	23%	1%	1%	1%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Falkirk	57%	29%	8%	0%	4%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Fife North East	41%	9%	13%	37%	0%	1%	0%	SNP	Gain	TCTC
Glasgow Central	48%	36%	5%	3%	1%	5%	1%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Glasgow East	54%	37%	4%	1%	2%	1%	1%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Glasgow North	48%	34%	5%	3%	0%	8%	1%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Glasgow North East	43%	47%	3%	1%	0%	3%	1%	Lab		TCTC
Glasgow North West	50%	37%	7%	2%	0%	3%	0%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Glasgow South	53%	33%	8%	2%	0%	3%	1%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Glasgow South West	55%	35%	5%	3%	2%	1%	0%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Glenrothes	48%	44%	5%	0%	0%	0%	2%	SNP	Gain	TCTC
Gordon	43%	12%	10%	31%	2%	0%	2%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Inverclyde	55%	34%	7%	0%	2%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey	51%	11%	8%	25%	2%	1%	2%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Kilmarnock & Loudoun	52%	35%	11%	0%	0%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath	51%	39%	6%	2%	2%	0%	0%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Lanark & Hamilton East	49%	34%	13%	0%	3%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Linlithgow & Falkirk East	53%	34%	9%	0%	1%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Livingston	54%	33%	8%	0%	2%	0%	2%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Midlothian	48%	31%	9%	5%	2%	3%	2%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Moray	66%	1%	23%	2%	4%	1%	1%	SNP		Certain
Motherwell & Wishaw	53%	37%	5%	1%	2%	0%	2%	SNP	Gain	High Likely
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	78%	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	SNP		Certain
Ochil & South Perthshire	55%	22%	18%	0%	3%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	Certain
Orkney & Shetland	36%	0%	8%	47%	7%	0%	1%	LibDem		Likely
Paisley & Renfrewshire North	46%	38%	12%	0%	0%	1%	2%	SNP	Gain	Leaning
Paisley & Renfrewshire South	49%	39%	5%	1%	0%	0%	5%	SNP	Gain	Likely
Perth & North Perthshire	66%	1%	28%	0%	1%	1%	3%	SNP		Certain
Renfrewshire East	38%	38%	18%	4%	1%	0%	0%	Lab		TCTC
Ross, Skye & Lochaber	43%	6%	5%	38%	1%	3%	4%	SNP	Gain	Leaning
Rutherglen & Hamilton West	43%	44%	7%	1%	3%	0%	1%	Lab		TCTC
Stirling	47%	26%	22%	2%	0%	0%	1%	SNP	Gain	Certain