2015 General Election Predictions › Page 5

England Constituencies I-N

Constituency	Con	Lab	LibDem	UKIP	Green	Other	Winner	Gain?	Certainty
Ilford North	42%	40%	0%	12%	5%	1%	Con		TCTC
Ilford South	24%	54%	2%	12%	7%	1%	Lab		Certain
Ipswich	36%	41%	3%	13%	6%	0%	Lab	Gain	Leaning
Isle of Wight	44%	18%	17%	13%	5%	3%	Con		Certain
Islington North	11%	59%	12%	11%	7%	0%	Lab		Certain
Islington South & Finsbury	16%	47%	19%	11%	6%	1%	Lab		Certain
Jarrow	18%	63%	4%	10%	4%	0%	Lab		Certain
Keighley	39%	43%	0%	13%	4%	0%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Kenilworth & Southam	50%	20%	13%	12%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Kensington	46%	31%	5%	12%	6%	1%	Con		Likely
Kettering	46%	36%	1%	10%	4%	2%	Con		Leaning
Kingston & Surbiton	32%	17%	39%	7%	5%	1%	LibDem		Leaning
Kingswood	43%	33%	6%	14%	4%	1%	Con		Leaning
Knowsley	6%	77%	0%	13%	4%	0%	Lab		Certain
Lancashire West	32%	50%	0%	13%	5%	0%	Lab		High Likely
Lancaster & Fleetwood	33%	42%	4%	12%	9%	0%	Lab	Gain	Leaning
Leeds Central	18%	60%	6%	11%	4%	0%	Lab		Certain
Leeds East	21%	60%	3%	11%	4%	1%	Lab		Certain
Leeds North East	30%	49%	5%	12%	4%	1%	Lab		High Likely
Leeds North West	23%	27%	32%	11%	5%	1%	LibDem		Leaning
Leeds West	17%	50%	10%	13%	9%	0%	Lab		Certain
Leicester East	21%	60%	0%	12%	6%	1%	Lab		Certain
Leicester South	12%	63%	7%	13%	4%	2%	Lab		Certain
Leicester West	25%	47%	8%	13%	6%	1%	Lab		Certain
Leicestershire North West	43%	38%	2%	13%	4%	0%	Con		Leaning
Leicestershire South	48%	27%	9%	14%	0%	0%	Con		Certain
Leigh	20%	57%	6%	15%	0%	0%	Lab		Certain
Lewes	33%	10%	40%	11%	6%	1%	LibDem		Leaning
Lewisham Deptford	10%	59%	8%	10%	11%	3%	Lab		Certain
Lewisham East	20%	48%	13%	12%	6%	2%	Lab		Certain
Lewisham West & Penge	22%	46%	13%	12%	6%	1%	Lab		Certain
Leyton & Wanstead	19%	49%	13%	13%	6%	1%	Lab		Certain
Lichfield	50%	25%	5%	15%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Lincoln	35%	41%	8%	12%		1%	Lab	Gain	Leaning
Liverpool Riverside	8%	65%	8%	12%	8%	0%	Lab		Certain
Liverpool Walton	3%	78%	0%	13%	4%	1%	Lab		Certain
Liverpool Wavertree	4%	58%	19%	12%	6%	1%	Lab		Certain
Liverpool West Derby	6%	67%	0%	12%	4%	11%	Lab		Certain
Loughborough	46%	36%	3%	11%	3%	1%	Con		Leaning
Louth & Horncastle	47%	24%	7%	15%	4%	2%	Con		Certain
Ludlow	49%	13%	18%	14%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Luton North	28%	54%	0%	13%	5%	0%	Lab		Certain
Luton South	28%	44%	8%	13%	5%	0%	Lab		High Likely
Macclesfield	43%	26%	8%	13%	6%	5%	Con		High Likely
Maidenhead	56%	13%	13%	12%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Maidstone & The Weald	44%	16%	21%	13%	5%	2%	Con		Certain
Makerfield	18%	63%	2%	12%	5%	0%	Lab		Certain
Maldon	57%	19%	5%	15%	4%	0%	Con		Certain
Manchester Central	1%	72%	0%	14%	8%	5%	Lab		Certain
Manchester Gorton	8%	55%	17%	10%	7%	3%	Lab		Certain
Manchester Withington	8%	46%	29%	11%	6%	0%	Lab	Gain	High Likely
Mansfield	24%	46%	1%	16%	4%	9%	Lab		Certain
Meon Valley	52%	12%	17%	13%	4%	2%	Con		Certain
Meriden	50%	27%	3%	13%	6%	1%	Con		Certain
Middlesbrough	3%	64%	0%	21%	4%	8%	Lab		Certain
Middlesbrough South & Cleveland East	33%	47%	1%	14%	4%	0%	Lab		Likely
Milton Keynes North	40%	33%	7%	13%	6%	1%	Con		Leaning
Milton Keynes South	37%	38%	9%	10%	4%	2%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Mitcham & Morden	22%	62%	0%	12%	5%	0%	Lab		Certain
Mole Valley	53%	13%	14%	15%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Morecambe & Lunesdale	36%	42%	6%	11%	5%	1%	Lab	Gain	Leaning
Morley & Outwood	34%	46%	2%	14%	4%	0%	Lab		Likely
New Forest East	49%	16%	15%	15%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
New Forest West	54%	16%	8%	15%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Newark	38%	22%	0%	33%	6%	1%	Con		Leaning
Newbury	52%	10%	20%	12%	5%	0%	Con		Certain
Newcastle upon Tyne Central	17%	55%	10%	13%	6%	0%	Lab		Certain
Newcastle upon Tyne East	13%	52%	19%	10%	6%	0%	Lab		Certain
Newcastle upon Tyne North	15%	48%	19%	13%	5%	0%	Lab		Certain
Newcastle-under-Lyme	30%	43%	5%	18%	4%	0%	Lab		Likely
Newton Abbot	39%	13%	26%	16%	5%	0%	Con		Likely
Norfolk Mid	46%	24%	7%	16%	7%	0%	Con		Certain
Norfolk North	28%	12%	40%	15%	5%	0%	LibDem		Likely
Norfolk North West	52%	20%	9%	14%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Norfolk South	46%	19%	15%	14%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Norfolk South West	46%	25%	7%	16%	6%	0%	Con		Certain
Normanton, Pontefract & Castleford	24%	58%	4%	11%	0%	0%	Lab		Certain
Northampton North	32%	36%	13%	13%	5%	0%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Northampton South	39%	33%	5%	15%	5%	3%	Con		Leaning
Northamptonshire South	51%	23%	6%	14%	5%	1%	Con		Certain
Norwich North	36%	40%	6%	11%	6%	1%	Lab	Gain	TCTC
Norwich South	20%	33%	9%	15%	22%	0%	Lab	Gain	Likely
Nottingham East	20%	50%	9%	13%	7%	0%	Lab		Certain
Nottingham North	22%	57%	2%	14%	4%	0%	Lab		Certain
Nottingham South	30%	44%	8%	12%	6%	0%	Lab		Likely
Nuneaton	35%	40%	5%	13%	6%	0%	Lab	Gain	TCTC